1 – Moldova. On unionism and (geo)politics
BSSB.BE ingepo.ro/ 20.10.2016
The recently posted Magenta/FUMN poll intended to an in-depth research of the relationship between the (geo)political attitudes of the left bank of the River Prut’s population and their attitude towards Romania (unionism) gives us the opportunity to calmly review the situation in the Republic of Moldova.
The developments over there are not an issue on Bucharest’s public or political agenda of today in spite of some rite gestures taking place no matter what the color or the government’s options are (official visits on August 27th – the Independence Day of the Republic of Moldova – and granting money from Romania’s budget). Yet silence is risky.
The left of the River Prut’s state of mind coupled with the ever tensioned regional developments coming not only from the East but also from the West run the risk of confronting Bucharest with a unprecedented explosive agenda. A true Molotov cocktail having as ingredients the direct presidential elections, the risk of Transnistrisation of the republic and the resurgence of unionism.
Presidential elections on the left of the River Prut
Direct presidential elections that will be resumed on October 30th, 2016 (since they were turned into parliamentarian elections after the year 2000) is an event per se. Directly electing
the president, as those on the right bank of the River Prut know very well, means personalizing the issues, the disputes and the stakes and making them more extreme, wipes off the greys and confronts the voter precisely with an either/or option. In Chisinau, the area where politics is not politics but geopolitics, things will be more dramatic. The option will be as always between East and West and for some will be personalized this time more conspicuously: between Russia and Romania.
Certainly they will say that the true stake in Chisinau is not geopolitical and so it should be but the true stakes are the fight against corruption and the development of the Republic of Moldova. The contentions have a measure of truth – the mere fact that no criminal investigation in rem was launched in the case of the theft of one billion dollars so that political arbitrariness of pinpointing/ignoring the culprits be dispelled – is telling.
Nevertheless, the contentions are not true to the end as conveying the idea that one can really fight corruption and implicitly engender growth while ignoring the geopolitical East/West game plan is an immense naivety if not a terrible mistake. And that is acknowledged furthermore by one of the potential would-be president in Chisinau, Andrei Năstase who, with a disarming sincerity which in fact cancels the tacit slogan of the Moldavian Yes Platform he is heading -“by ourselves”- requests that the investigation against corruption be launched by… the Romanian specialized body! Quod erat demonstrandum.
Therefore, no matter how the ruling power’s candidate (the Democratic Party candidate) and his main rivals of the opposition, Maia Sandu (for whom, in accordance with her party’s (PAS) political program, Romania is equal to… Ukraine for the Republic of Moldova!) or Andrei Năstase will strive to empower the idea that it is not geopolitics but domestic policy that should dominate the agenda of would-be president candidates, overcoming the difficulties will be a quite hard endeavor. And that not only because an eminently geopolitical candidate will reach the second round, the socialist Igor Dodon, the one just recently dropped from the picture taken with Vladimir Putin, of the presidential elections but also because there are other two do mestic and foreign developments that will obstruct their demarches: the potential transnistrisation of the republic and the resurgence of unionism.
Playing cars’ number plates gives birth to monsters
The EU’s ambassador to Chisinau Pirkka Tapiona’s recent posting (August 12th, 2016) on Facebook that was as artless and delicate as a Finnish lily, was suggesting to Chisinau to accept the Transnistrian cars’ number plates. More concretely, the image the ambassador pointed to was that a valid model for Transnistrian cars’ number plates would be… Åland Island in Finland, the tiny Finnish, Swedish-speaking, plot of land that enjoys what should enjoy the Transnistrians too, personalized car’s number plates included.
- Playing comparisons aimed at the Republic of Moldova with other EU member states is dangerous and it is surprisingly that Brussels’ representative in the Republic of Moldova opened Pandora’s box of comparisons with similar situations in the EU while this is not at stake for the time being. The issue is that the example selected by the ambassador Pirkka Tapiola in his said posting designates a dangerous (geo)political suggestion.
- We are at a time when a consistent pressure is exerted on Chisinau to accept in the framework of ”5+2“ negotiations with Transnistria steps considered benign –“small steps“ – of the type: Transnistrian cars’ number plates, recognizing Tiraspol’s “State” University diplomas, a distinct phone code for the region etc.
- How is the devil hiding in these details? In one way only. Gradually implementing region’s political
status through steps that apparently are not included in this chapter: the so-called ”small steps“ are in reality nothing but solid bricks laid to the foundation of the region’s political status in the offing of a complete solution.
For if Chisinau accepts ”small steps” now, what else would it accept when the stage of concretely discussing the political status is reached? A region having already its own phone code, cars’ number plates, that is issuing diplomas etc., etc. has already through this very jurisdiction a political status.
The result will be an extended autonomy able to control, by stalling, the Republic of Moldova’s foreign and security policy. Furthermore, by shedding around 10% of pro-Russian votes in the electoral pool of the then reintegrated republic, the Western-oriented vector will crumble for good.
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*Youtube – Why Read: The Importance of the Liberal Arts – Literature Against Philosophy (2004). The liberal arts (Latin: artes liberales) are those subjects or skills that in classical antiquity were considered essential for a free person (a citizen) to know in order to take an active part in civic life. In Ancient Greece this included participating in public debate, defending oneself in court, serving on juries, and most importantly, military service (slaves and resident aliens were by definition excluded from the duties and responsibilities of citizenship).
*Youtube – Highest Security Prison In The World – Full Documentary HD.
*Youtube – What Happens When You Die – Documentary National Geographic – Full Documentary Films
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