Moldova. The wisdom of a gathering of cats
BSSB.BE ingepo.ro/ 25.10.2016
The Magenta/FUMN doesn’t give political directions but reveals some tendencies. These tendencies, contextualized regionally on the background of the presidential elections, might have a major electoral potential. There will be an opportunity for discussing and assessing the political expressions for the unionist camp in Chisinau. It is a naivety to think someone might discipline or make it act in accord. It’s like trying to discipline a gathering of cats. And that cannot be possible…
Yet it is not unnatural to be like that: unionism is the commitment’s territory, sometimes totally, that of deep emotions, of youth and hot blood, of the idea of urgency and of the fact that everything should be done now and here, of lack of patience and of the irrepressible feeling of historical mission. It is too about massive vanities, generation’s vanities, resentments and private idiosyncrasies. Therefore, let’s not expect sure unanimities…
Maybe a bit of wisdom. The setting in which the question must be posed is the following. The time frame for the presidential campaign will be very short, roughly one month. The main communication media with national coverage are at the disposal of those having their own candidates and they will be in no hurry to share them with the unionists. On the contrary. For this reason, a unionist candidate without notoriety at the republic’s level is a waste of time; physically one cannot compensate for
this deficiency. Moreover, any notoriety not associated with the unionist issue is not a wise decision:
- it takes time and is, technically speaking, troublesome to stick a new label on a figure no matter how notorious he is. In addition, it is not clear how the electorate will react to that and
- if the previous ”positive” notoriety of the figure will not turn into its opposite, i.e. rejection, after
applying the new unionist label.
No decision linked to shouldering the ”unionist candidate” will be ideal and none other will meet unanimities. If at least that will be understood from the beginning calmly and without excessive expectations, then this camp could make a big step forward.
Buchatest – the (anyway) committed on-looker If, as the Magenta/FUMN research suggests the unionist issue transcends the marginal and politically irrelevant condition it is in today and will reach the political mainstream in Chisinau on the occasion of the presidential elections, Bucharest will have an enormous problem to handle.
No matter how much Bucharest will try to deny any interference and interest, the challenges will be enormous and the events must not find it unprepared. Bucharest’s worst solution is to relate to the potential resurrection of unionism in Chisinau through the already dedicated method: we don’t want it to exist, therefore it doesn’t exist.
What I don’t see and don’t hear doesn’t hurt me. We close the eyes and do not speak of it and… it disappears. Or, if it doesn’t disappear, we fully condemn it and dissociate completely and irrepressibly of it.
In fact, when you have hundreds of thousands of citizens beyond the River Prut and the tendency is to reach one million of them it is more difficult to dissociate. Secondly, you cannot get angry and vilify a reality or a evidence. In fact, you cannot revolt against rain and fully condemn the phenomenon. If there will be a unionist resurrection ever beyond the River Prut, then it is something simply happening: you see the phenomenon and relate to it. You cannot either deny it or hope that if you don’t speak of it disappears by itself.
Romania will have to address the issue calmly and without the obsession of a hidden agenda.
I have said over and over that the best solution for not being accused of having a hidden agenda is to assume one cleverly and realistically. To express it ably in public and as convincingly for your partners as possible. You will never convince everybody: the Russian propaganda will massively use the unionist resurrection and will turn everything into an aggressive and imperialist ”Romanian conspiracy”. There will be one step only from here to the comparison with Crimea… That is why the dialogue with the European and Euro-Atlantic partners should be duly prepared. Serious challenges will come for the authorities in Bucharest and that should be taken as such.
As far as the political parties in Romania are concerned, one single thing should be emphasized:
if unionism becomes an important stake in the presidential debate beyond the River Prut, then it is sure it will interfere with Romania’s political legislative campaign following shortly after the second round of presidential elections in Chisinau (during the first
half of December).
The Romanian political parties should prepare by now the discourse and the attitude because the Republic of Moldova is eminently a political issue and not a technocratic one.
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