Moldova. The tragic-comedy “single candidate»
BSSB.BE jurnal.md/en/ 17.10.2016
The tragic-comedy “single candidate” has made this week to be released 4 polls: IRI (by Magenta), Intellect Group, CMHC and the Konrad Adenauer Foundation one (could not find anywhere who has realized it in the field).
The tragic-comedy has provided a great final: the politician (Andrei Nastase) that for almost 2 years speaks constantly on behalf of the people just received from “all the people” a PAS(s) response and was forced to withdraw from the presidential race. As I wrote in a post on Facebook, more and more politicians will love polls.
I can not remember any other time in the history of Moldova when the polls were taken so seriously into account by politicians. It is a first. Somehow welcomed.
Another thing that I have noticed: the surveys are presented by all kinds of (semi) ghostly companies and sociologists are missing both from presentations and from all media materials that refer to those polls. I’m wondering why!?
Surveys without sociologists are like politics without citizens. Effects? I hope that you see them in the last 25 years. In Moldova, sociologists could be endangered. Moreover, as well as citizens.
The results of the opinion poll conducted at the request of the Konrad Adenauer Foundation, that was expected by the anti-oligarchic forces for taking the decision on common candidate, have appeared. The study shows that the favorites for the presidential elections are Igor Dodon, Maia Sandu and Andrei Năstase, the difference between the last two being of 1,38%.
According to the poll, in the first round of the presidential elections, for Dodon would vote 32,97%, for Sandu – 14,34% and for Năstase – 12,96%.
At the same time, the participants to the poll were asked how they would vote in the case in which Maia Sandu did not candidate. The results are the following:
Igor Dodon – 33,74%
Andrei Năstase – 21,85%
Marian Lupu – 13,00%
Other candidates – under 5%.
In the case of Andrei Năstase’s withdrawal from the race, the votes would be distributed in the following way:
Igor Dodon – 33,40%
Maia Sandu – 26,54%
Marian Lupu – 12,20%
Other candidates – under 5%.
The data collection was effectuated by the Magenta Consulting, and the subsequent analysis will be conducted by the Eastern European Studies Center from Vilnius. The poll based on a representative sample of 1102 persons and has a margin or error of +/- 3 percent. The period of data collection was September 23 – October 6, 2016. A complete presentation of the obtained results will be published after the analysis of the collected data.
It is to mention that the first poll, ordered by the right-wing anti-oligarchic forces, conducted by the IRI, positioned Andrei Năstase and Maia Sandu on equality.
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