BSSB.BE iri.org/ 27.10.2016
On October 30, 2016, Moldovans will go to the polls to vote in the first direct presidential election to be held in the country in 20 years, amid widespread dissatisfaction with the country’s trajectory. The potential for a “protest vote” in favor of pro-Russian candidates has raised fears for Moldova’s continued European integration and democratic development.
The presidential election takes place in an environment of high levels of dissatisfaction with the political status quo and the economy. According to the latest IRI poll, 82 percent of respondents believe that things in the country are going in the wrong direction. Public dissatisfaction intensified as a result of the collapse of the Liberal Democrat Party (PLDM)-controlled government in October 2015 following revelations of the involvement of party leader Vlad Filat with the high-level banking scandal and a no-confidence vote in parliament.
After three months of fractious negotiations and significant splits within the PLDM and the Communist Party (PCRM), a new majority was cobbled together in January 2016 around Democrat Party (PDM) Deputy Chairman Pavel Filip. The process of building the new parliamentary majority was fraught with procedural irregularities and allegations of corruption. Ongoing public protests against this political dysfunction have been a regular occurrence since April 2015, and drew tens of thousands to the streets of Chisinau in the last year.
IRI’s polling data indicates that Moldovans are eager to participate in the upcoming elections (89 percent said they are either very likely or somewhat likely to vote).
However, the prevailing “protest vote” sentiment has raised fears that the presidential election may provide a mandate for pro-Russian parties and potentially undermine Moldova’s accession into Euro-Atlantic structures. Due to the Association Agreement between Moldova and the European Union, the international donor community and international financial institutions will be paying close attention to the outcome of the election.
IRI polling confirms that it is highly unlikely that any candidate will receive a majority in the first round of voting on October 30, making it likely that a second round of voting will take place in mid-November. Polls suggest that the second round will most likely pit Dodon against a pro-European challenger.
In August, three pro-European parliamentary parties agreed to support a single candidate and to let polling data determine the best candidate to face the likely Socialist candidate in the second round. In October, Sandu was named as the single candidate for this pro-European coalition. Andrei Nastase of the Dignity and Truth platform, once a top-contender, withdrew from the race in support of Sandu, enhancing her polling numbers.
Conflicts Eurosceptocism Geopolitics Economy Nations EU Parties Persons Youtube
*Youtube – The Legend, Larry King – Interviews & Real Political Thoughts. The Legend, Larry King.Larry King is nothing short of THE name in talk shows- he rose from hunble radio beginnings to the most preeminent interview and news shows in the world. But how did he get there? How did he transition from humble and scared radio host to CNN and OraTV’s biggest host? Now that he’s departed CNN, what can he say is his real political point of view? What happened in his infamous Jerry Seinfeld interview? What is the first question he would ask Osama bin Laden?
*Youtube – As a preview to this month’s issue of Compass, Stratfor Managing Editor Cole Altom discusses OPEC’s cohesion problems and Europe’s defense industry, post Brexit.
*Youtube – Robert Kaplan: The Geopolitics of the World. NEWPORT, R.I. — Robert D. Kaplan, best-selling author and chief geopolitical analyst for Stratfor, discusses the geopolitics of the world at the 65th annual Current Strategy Forum at the U.S. Naval War College in Newport, Rhode Island, June 17, 2014.
Electoral race in Transnistria 19.09.2016 | BSSB
W. Hill. Moldovan’s dangerous hypocrisy 29.03.2018 | BSSB
Moldova. Analytics. How International Media Feeds Political Crisis in Moldova... 09.11.2015 | BSSB
Moldova. The Protests in a row to come 20.04.2016 | BSSB
Moldova. Vacation for elections 08.06.2015 | BSSB
Horizons of dispolitics 23.04.2018 | BSSB
Moldova. Know your hero 31.10.2016 | BSSB
Moldova. It is never too late to say “NO”... 31.03.2016 | BSSB
Moldova. Commercial Relations Moldova-Russia... 30.03.2016 | BSSB
Moldova. 87% of citizens do not trust Plahotniuc... 26.11.2014 | BSSB
Transnistria is being stalked 15.09.2016 | BSSB
Moldova. “Wanted a vocal and powerful president”... 07.10.2016 | BSSB
- Challenges and Opportunities for US-EU 15.02.2019
- New Era of More Inequality 15.02.2019
- 1. Europe. A high-risk game 14.02.2019
- UKRAINE: muddling through an election 13.02.2019
- Eurasia. Geographic importance 12.02.2019
- 2. Patterns in EU Defence Spending 12.02.2019
- WILL Europe survive this struggle? 11.02.2019
- Fight Club: France and Italy 11.02.2019
- The Eurozone: no RISK no FUN 08.02.2019
- 1. Patterns in EU Defence Spending 08.02.2019
- The FACE OF EUROPE 07.02.2019
- POLAND: Busy Political Season 07.02.2019
- 2. Migration from Ukraine to Poland 06.02.2019
- Who Will Run the World? 06.02.2019
- Populists: Win by Losing 05.02.2019